Risk Management
Oct 19, 2026 5 min read
Forex Win Rate vs Expectancy: How to Evaluate a Trading Strategy
A forex trading win rate on its own says almost nothing about whether a strategy makes money; a 40% win rate can be excellent and an 80% one can be ruinous. This guide explains the relationship between win rate and reward-to-risk, the breakeven line every strategy has to clear, how to calculate expectancy from a trade log, why the win rate also sets the losing streaks you will endure, and how to evaluate a strategy with the three numbers that actually predict its results.
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