Macro
Oct 28, 2026 5 min read
US Q3 GDP Advance Estimate and Core PCE on 29 October 2026: What to Expect and How to Trade It
Tomorrow, 29 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC, the US publishes the advance estimate of third-quarter GDP and the September PCE inflation report in the same release, twenty hours after the Fed and forty-five minutes before the ECB. Consensus is 3.2% annualised growth with forecasts spread from 1.5% to the Atlanta Fed's 3.5%, and core PCE at 0.3% on the month and 3.1% on the year, up from 3.0%. This guide explains what each number measures, why the combination matters more than either, the four outcomes for the dollar, gold and NAS100, and a plan for a release sandwiched between two central banks.
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